Field report W-59 / P8 · sheet /macro
Boardroom MacroFiled from the territory
U.S. private employers added 86,000 jobs in October, beating forecasts
U.S. private employers added 86,000 jobs in October, above a 75,000 forecast, as service industries led gains and professional and business services posted a third straight monthly decline.
- Grid
- W-59 / P8
- Surveyed
- November 6, 2026
- Reading
- 3 min read
- Correspondent
- Olivia Hart

Field notes
- Private employment rose 86,000 in October, above the 75,000 forecast.
- Service providers added 82,000 jobs, while goods producers added 4,000.
- Professional and business services lost 27,000 jobs, a third straight monthly decline.
- Private base pay rose 3.2% year on year, while job-changers' gross pay rose 7.6%.
- The BLS will publish October nonfarm payrolls on Friday; ADP's November report is due Dec. 2 at 8:15 a.m. ET.
By Olivia Hart
U.S. private employers added 86,000 jobs in October, according to ADP, beating the 75,000-job Wall Street forecast reported by MarketWatch. The figure came from ADP’s National Employment Report, produced with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab, and concentrated hiring in service-providing industries.
Service-providing businesses added 82,000 jobs, compared with 4,000 at goods producers. Professional and business services lost 27,000 positions, their third straight monthly decline, so the national increase did not signal uniform expansion.
ADP Chief Economist Nela Richardson linked the hiring gain to more than base salary. She said: “Employers of all sizes were hiring last month, and our data suggests that job-changers were lured by a combination of bonuses, overtime, and more hours in addition to higher base pay.”
Richardson also said: “Taken together, earnings growth for these workers hit its fastest pace since March 2024.” Her assessment places bonuses, overtime and additional hours alongside base pay in the employer search for mobile workers.
Which industries drove October's hiring gains?
Trade, transportation and utilities led the industry breakdown with 39,000 jobs added. Other major contributors included:
- Education and health services added 28,000 jobs.
- Leisure and hospitality added 19,000 jobs.
- Financial activities added 15,000 jobs.
- Construction added 13,000 jobs.
- Other services added 10,000 jobs.
Four categories contracted:
- Professional and business services shed 27,000 jobs, their third consecutive monthly decline.
- Natural resources and mining shed 8,000 jobs.
- Information employment fell by 2,000 jobs.
- Manufacturing employment fell by 1,000 job.
Employers therefore face a split hiring market: several categories added staff while professional and business services continued reducing headcount.
What did the pay data show?
ADP Pay Insights recorded year-on-year gains for both private-sector base pay and gross pay. The split between workers who changed jobs and those who stayed was clearer:
- Private-sector base pay rose 3.2%, while gross pay rose 4.7%.
- Job-changers saw base pay climb 4.8% and gross pay climb 7.6%.
- Job-stayers saw base pay rise 3.0% and gross pay rise 4.4%.
Job-changers recorded the stronger pay advances in both measures. Richardson’s account makes the wider combination of base pay, bonuses, overtime and hours more relevant than base salary alone.
Where did employers add staff?
ADP reported gains across establishment sizes:
- Medium-sized establishments added 33,000 jobs.
- Small establishments added 28,000 jobs.
- Large establishments added 24,000 jobs.
The regional distribution was equally broad:
- The South added 47,000 jobs.
- The West added 28,000 jobs.
- The Midwest added 9,000 jobs.
- The Northeast added 3,000 jobs.
The South supplied the largest regional gain, while every region posted a net increase. Gains across sizes and regions contrast with the continuing contraction in professional and business services.
How does the signal compare with other labor data?
ADP had initially reported 90,000 jobs for September, up from a revised 36,000 in August. The company then revised September down to 86,000 from 90,000, leaving October’s gain against a slightly lower prior-month figure than first reported.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that nonfarm payrolls rose 29,000 in September, below the forecast of 84,000. That contrast leaves the ADP gain subject to confirmation from the government’s October payroll report.
What reports come next?
The Bureau of Labor Statistics is scheduled to release its October nonfarm payrolls report on Friday, according to CNBC. ADP will release its November report on Dec. 2 at 8:15 a.m. ET.
For employers, the immediate task is to separate a service-heavy hiring gain from broad acceleration and to assess base pay alongside bonuses, overtime and hours. Those measures will test whether October’s 86,000 jobs represent sustained demand or a narrower rotation in hiring.
via Quartz (Source)
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News editor covering regulation, policy and their impact on corporate strategy and chief-executive leadership at CEO Frontier.
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